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Yes. Which is why I think it would be best to view the iPhone platform in a similar light as a game console. Cool and fun, but not something you would seriously be expecting to be the basis of the next wave of personal computing.


Actually, I think the iPhone's success has practically guaranteed the next wave of personal computing will follow the console model.

It's easier for the user, the development community is willing and it offers larger returns for the platform creator.

Besides, most of the guts of personal computing are being done via protocols and services; platform lock-in isn't really done on the device anymore.


That would truly be a sad future, worse than the '1984' scenario being played out by Amazon's DRM. What free person would want to rely on a device that required the manufacturers constant consent to allow it to function as that they wanted? Thankfully this seems unlikely. History suggests that there is a significant benefit in choice and freedom and that consumers will eventually follow that path.

> It's easier for the user, the development community is willing and it offers larger returns for the platform creator.

So the lock-in is powerful and effective?

> Besides, most of the guts of personal computing are being done via protocols and services; platform lock-in isn't really done on the device anymore.

So the lock-in doesn't really matter?

Which is it? You can't have it both ways. The answer is that the lock-in acts like friction, wasting value instead of providing returns for participants in the system.


The important thing is not the lock-in, and probably not even the pre-screening of applications. The important thing is the streamlining of getting software and updates to the user.

If centralized software distribution scares you, be afraid of Ubuntu.


With the iPhone there is one software repository. With Ubuntu (and most major distributions) you can roll your own repository (or someone selling software can).

Centralized software distribution is awesome, the issue with the iPhone model is that you have to be anointed.


All losses of freedom are important. Ubuntu doesn't force you to use them for software distribution or updates.

Of course Apple could do the same without any loss of experience for those who wanted to stay within their cage. The only possible 'benefit' in enforcing these restrictions is the prevention of pirating of software. But DRM hasn't worked for music and there isn't much reason to think it will work for software either.




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