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Suppose both microcontrollers will be out of date in a week and replaced by far more capable microcontrollers.

The long view is to see the microcontroller as a commodity piece of hardware that is rapidly changing. Now is not the time to go all in on betamax and take 10 years leases on physical blockbuster stores when streaming is 2 weeks away.

Ai is possibly the most open technological advance I have experienced - there is no excuse, this time, for skilled operators to be stuck for decades with AWS or some other propriety blend of vendor lock-in.



This isn't betamax vs VHS. It's VHS vs a clone of VHS. The long view necessarily has to account for R&D, long term business partners, and lots of other externalities. The fact that both manufacturers will have a new model of VCR out next month, and yet another the month after that, really has nothing to do with the conundrum I gave voice to.

I'll also note that there's zero vendor lock-in in either scenario. It's a simple question about the tradeoffs of indirect parasitism within the market. I'm not even taking a side on it. I don't even know for certain that any given open weights Chinese model was trained against US frontier models. Some people on HN have made accusations but I haven't seen anything particularly credible to back it up.


If the clone is 1/10th of the price, and of equivalent quality, why would I use the original ? I would be undercut by my concurrents if i did that, it would be a very bad business decision.




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