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Apparently, even Erdös did not believe the solution to that problem. Imagine saying no to him because he failed to come up with the correct solution.


I'd go as far as saying that this question makes your interviewing process to be more "cheat-friendly" - the chances of an interviewee not knowing of the problem and solving it on the spot are a lot lower than those of him having heard of it and pretending to solve it on the spot.

The first time I heard of it I was surprised about how counter-intuitive it seemed, but it didn't baffle me completely because I have a strong information theory background. From an information-theoretical point of view, it's not completely counter-intuitive that new information can change probabilities a posteriori, particularly when there is mutual interdependence.


To be fair most explanations of the Monty Hall problem gloss over the most important fact, that Hall knows the correct answer. When I first learned about it I had a hard time comprehending it until I very carefully reread the description and realized this key fact.


I can't remember where I read it (or I'd provide a link) but the real "a-ha" moment for me came when I read "... so what if there's a million doors instead of 3? Does that make a difference" (it doesn't to the argument but it does to most people if you frame it in that way allegedly) in an explanation.




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