I think we’re very close to the point where a lot of soft ware engineers will be unnecessary.
Within a decade, assuming progress continues this way, it should be possible to generate usable code from these tools which performs fairly complex tasks. One person could generate a prompted CLI from a spec in very little time for example.
This wouldn’t be an arduous task at the moment, but given the current contextual capacity of this AI, I suspect in a decade it will be able to fully comprehend something at the scale of a basic SaaS application.
I feel like we’re approaching a revolution. I suspect I will keep my job for a while yet, and once less skilled people are made obsolete I might hold on for a while longer. Without a doubt, I will be worth far less soon and I will do a lot of my work using AI.
All kinds of digital tasks will gradually be usurped by AI. It’s surreal. At first we won’t be able to compete with the quantity of acceptable output. Then we won’t be able to compete on quality of output, either.
These systems will absolutely begin teaching each other. Well, they already do! But they will become better at it, and we will become generally inferior in most digital tasks.
As digital to physical fabrication improves, even things like product design and electrical engineering will be taken over. Spec some kind of a circuit, have the AI design the PCB and fuzz test it in a simulation to ensure it’s resilient and sensible, send the PCB to a mostly-automated fabrication process, pick and place, etc…
Ugh. Weird times. Perhaps we all need to learn to leverage AI or become irrelevant.
Within a decade, assuming progress continues this way, it should be possible to generate usable code from these tools which performs fairly complex tasks. One person could generate a prompted CLI from a spec in very little time for example.
This wouldn’t be an arduous task at the moment, but given the current contextual capacity of this AI, I suspect in a decade it will be able to fully comprehend something at the scale of a basic SaaS application.
I feel like we’re approaching a revolution. I suspect I will keep my job for a while yet, and once less skilled people are made obsolete I might hold on for a while longer. Without a doubt, I will be worth far less soon and I will do a lot of my work using AI.
All kinds of digital tasks will gradually be usurped by AI. It’s surreal. At first we won’t be able to compete with the quantity of acceptable output. Then we won’t be able to compete on quality of output, either.
These systems will absolutely begin teaching each other. Well, they already do! But they will become better at it, and we will become generally inferior in most digital tasks.
As digital to physical fabrication improves, even things like product design and electrical engineering will be taken over. Spec some kind of a circuit, have the AI design the PCB and fuzz test it in a simulation to ensure it’s resilient and sensible, send the PCB to a mostly-automated fabrication process, pick and place, etc…
Ugh. Weird times. Perhaps we all need to learn to leverage AI or become irrelevant.