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>For example if there is a >9 magnitude earthquake due to San Andreas fault, I have zero doubt California has any preparedness and if will even be able to airlift millions of people even though everyone knows it’s a ticking time bomb.

At least people are retrofitting buildings in CA to prepare for the San Andreas.

This is nothing compared to the real big one:

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/07/20/the-really-big...

On top of this, there are usually two Cascade Range eruptions a century. We've had 0 so far in the 21st. Could Rainier go?

A new virus isn't any less likely to occur tomorrow just because covid emerged. Expect another in your great-grandchild's lifetime, or sooner.

20% of USA children are obese and +75% of USA adults are overweight/obese. Expect heart disease complications (and death from diseases that take advantage of it as a comorbidity) to be more common. Yet people refuse to acknowledge what they're doing to themselves.

Expect plastic to be a collective hangover for our species in the near future.

Nothing lasts forever, and the past 100 years is just a single lifetime for some tortoises. We swirl and float in a chaotic world with the collective memory of a goldfish, and our conversations revolve around fears of interpersonal violence.

I wish we could be frank and seek an honest understanding of ourselves, our world, and its risks, but I've made my peace (I'm only a human as well). May we live in boring times, and roll with the changes!



thanks for the article, it was a great read. I wonder what new research on the cascadia subduction zone had happened since 2015 when it was published - and what changes in the forecasts might have to be made post-COVID-19, given new data on disaster preparedness.


To add context, I found the source for current art on this: https://pnsn.org/outreach/earthquakesources/csz




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