The mathematics of COVID-19 is not that hard - and has been known since pretty much the beginning. No need for hatred and personal attacks..
Lets do some real mathematics.
1) Get good data (e.g. death by date).
2) Take a look at the Logarithm of the growthrate ln(f'/f)
3) Spot all those straight lines - those are the curves of outbreaks
4) Turn those lines into a working formula for an outbreak
5) Calculate predictions - evaluate trend-changes - look when new outbreaks happened.
It's just that simple. Results won't give you insight about the mainstream, but it will give some insights about reality.
Some countries are easier (Mexico, Germany, ...).. Some have more outbreaks and complications. But the basic principles of the mathematics of COVID-19 outbreaks around the globe are the same.
Calculating the new outbreaks of Sweden is more advanced because the start of the new curve is hidden behind another outbreak. But now there's at least enough visible to give good estimates.
Lets do some real mathematics.
1) Get good data (e.g. death by date).
2) Take a look at the Logarithm of the growthrate ln(f'/f)
3) Spot all those straight lines - those are the curves of outbreaks
4) Turn those lines into a working formula for an outbreak
5) Calculate predictions - evaluate trend-changes - look when new outbreaks happened.
It's just that simple. Results won't give you insight about the mainstream, but it will give some insights about reality.
Some countries are easier (Mexico, Germany, ...).. Some have more outbreaks and complications. But the basic principles of the mathematics of COVID-19 outbreaks around the globe are the same.
Calculating the new outbreaks of Sweden is more advanced because the start of the new curve is hidden behind another outbreak. But now there's at least enough visible to give good estimates.