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I think it hinges on their (Trump, really) confidence on winning in November. No reason to do it now if you're sure you're going to win. No reason to worry about possible repercussions in the form of lost voters if you're sure you're going to lose.


Depress your opponents base and deny them a divisive issue to campaign on.

It would be a perfect game theory move to do it, no merit in holding out.


Trump's chances of winning will drastically increase with another Republican Supreme Court Justice.

The election will likely be contested. When some strategically selected counties in Florida start anulling mail-in votes the Republicans will be glad to have a person who will dispute in their favour.


What lost votes? Trump's base is going to eat this up. They would only be mad if he didn't ram through an appointment as fast as possible.


exactly. the search for a replacement SCOTUS is going to further unite the republicans for Trump.




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