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One thing we fail to consider when talking about automation is that, at the higher end, tasks are complex and (man+machine) is much much better than machine alone. Further, the time-growth of (man+machine) will asymptotically dominate (machine). This will mean people with newer skills to master (man+machine) will be hired rather than jobs just going away. So predicting a particular job going away is a futile exercise at the higher end. The lower end is different, jobs there are simple enough to fully be automated away.


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