> Except that most of Americans between 16-22 (the oldest FB audience) have quit.
That's an extraordinary claim and requires extraordinary evidence. You don't have any.
As someone who's actually in that demographic I can tell you it's patently false. Facebook continues to be the hub of social networking, particularly on college campuses. If you're having an event of any sort, Facebook is the place you announce it. Messenger is becoming the dominant messaging platform for most people I know.
If you're going to make extraordinarily bold claims, it'd be good to offer some actual evidence. Or at least put your money where your mouth is by taking a large short position.
From your profile, it looks like you're German, not American. Germans have always had a tepid relationship with Facebook and it's definitely not a core or strategic market for them.
Please don't be rude to others on HN, especially when you think they're wrong. The GP shouldn't have been so aggressive, but replying like this makes things worse.
Your comment would be fine without its first and third sentences.
I suspect that a couple months is too short a time frame to judge this—too prone to sample bias and normal fluctuation. But please keep flagging such comments when you see them. No one can read all the comments posted to HN, but we can and do read all the flagged ones.
In case anyone is wondering, the way you flag a comment is to click its timestamp to go to its page (a speed bump to prevent people from doing it impulsively), and then clicking 'flag' at the top. You need a small amount of karma (currently 31) before that link appears.
The insult isn't in the word sassafras, of course, but in being supercilious in a discussion. The reason you shouldn't do that is not because this place is "fragile" but because it's a rude thing to do.
That's an extraordinary claim and requires extraordinary evidence. You don't have any.
As someone who's actually in that demographic I can tell you it's patently false. Facebook continues to be the hub of social networking, particularly on college campuses. If you're having an event of any sort, Facebook is the place you announce it. Messenger is becoming the dominant messaging platform for most people I know.
If you're going to make extraordinarily bold claims, it'd be good to offer some actual evidence. Or at least put your money where your mouth is by taking a large short position.